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Poll: Raila is best performer

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By JEFF OTIENO
Posted  Friday, July 25  2008 at  16:11

In Summary

  • Steadman poll says Government approval rating stands at 65pc, the President 68pc and the Prime Minister 75pc
  • The Grand Coalition has an approval of 78pc while 58pc support amnesty calls for youths accused of post-election violence
  • The media and the Speaker are the most trusted institutions at 78pc and 75pc respectively.

A new opinion poll places Prime Minister Raila Odinga ahead of his principal partner, President Kibaki in performance in the Grand Coalition Government.

According to the poll conducted by the Steadman Group, Mr Odinga has an approval rating of 75 per cent compared to President Kibaki’s 68 and the Grand Coalition Government’s 65.

The study coincides with 100 days since the formation of the coalition that brought together political rivals President Kibaki and Mr Odinga. It means that most Kenyans interviewed by the pollsters view Mr Odinga positively when performing his duties compared to President Kibaki or the Government as a whole.

The study, which was conducted between July 6 and 11, interviewed a total of 2,012 Kenyans aged 18 years and above in the country’s eight provinces. It had a +/-2.2 margin of error and a 95 per cent confidence level.

Explaining the poll's findings, Steadman Group's political consultant, Dr Tom Wolf said Mr Odinga received the highest of positive approvals compared to the Head of State.

“Many Kenyans placed Mr Odinga on the 'highly approve' and 'somewhat approve' categories ahead of President Kibaki,” Dr Wolf said during the release of the survey results at the organisation's headquarters in Nairobi.

However, the political analyst said any leader in the world should be happy with an approval rating of over 50 per cent especially under a difficult political arrangement like the one in Kenya.

Apart from performance, Dr Wolf said many ODM supporters are still hostile to President Kibaki as a result of the outcome of last year’s presidential election.

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“Unlike ODM supporters many PNU supporters view Mr Odinga mildly since their candidate was sworn in as the President hence have nothing much against the Prime Minister,” he added.

Dr Wolf said the approval rating of the Grand Coalition was above 50 per cent mainly because of saving the country from plunging into war rather than what it has so far done in the past six months.

In fact, majority of Kenyans (78 per cent) support the power sharing agreement. At the political party level, the agreement receives the highest rating from both PNU and ODM-K faithful at 80 percent each, with ODM followers giving it a 76 per cent score.

On the provincial level, Mr Odinga’s ratings are higher than President Kibaki’s in five of the eight provinces.

The PM leads his principal partner in Nairobi, Coast, Rift Valley, Nyanza and Western. President Kibaki’s ratings are higher in Central, Eastern and North Eastern. Individually, the two principals score highly than government in all the provinces except North Eastern where the grand coalition scores a high of 80 per cent. In the province, President Kibaki scores 78 per cent, three more than Mr Odinga.

So far Kenyans are satisfied with the grand coalition’s performance in secondary and primary education, in which it scores 78 and 70 per cent respectively.

However, the study was conducted before student riots became widespread, affecting secondary education.

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Add a comment (8 comments so far)

  1. Submitted by mimimzalendo

    Thank you background info (PDF). After 2007 vote, your statistical prowess were proven right. You said election would be close and turnout would be key. You also had warned on ECK to be seen to be fair. Statistics is a way of life. Each and every day in Kenya (and the world), statistics shapes our lives. Companies and govts use statistics to sample their plans, their results and proposed support for actions. Dont be swayed by some few mere political hirelings critics.

    Posted  July 26, 2008 04:38 PM  
  2. Submitted by Muthaa

    Thanks for your good intention, but I really wish one day you will be able to do more positive and remedy-suggesting surveys and analysis. The resources you have could be employed to survey and inform politicians and wananchi how to accelerate Kenya's performance. Example, why not ask what politics is slowing down Kenya's progress and whether citizens know how to stop it?

    Posted  July 26, 2008 01:37 AM  
  3. Submitted by SJ502

    100 days and we are plunged again in who is better than who debate...Who was the bad boy? Let’s do a poll in homes too: who is better your Mummy or Daddy? We are not out of the woods and here we’re again asking the same victims who among their two leaders is doing them in better than the other...? Sadistic polling. Carry out these popularity contests in 4 years...we got healing to do now!

    Posted  July 26, 2008 12:49 AM  
  4. Submitted by waruiibuff

    Regardless of the poll of who is doing a better job, in the eyes of common man the are all doing a lousy job. From refusing to pay taxes to politicking about the resettlement of the IDP's. They are forgetting the plight of the common man, who they are supposed to servicing. In my eyes this coalition is "business as usual" which is what that got us into this mess.

    Posted  July 25, 2008 10:43 PM  
  5. Submitted by solongug

    Stop these poll ratings nonsense once and for all!There are no elections to be held until 2012!These poll ratings are the ones that made ODM believe that they had won and that PNU stole the elections.Just stop the nonsense and let the two principles serve wananchi the way they are supposed to.We do not need your ratings coz we have eyes and can see for ourselves.Finally if you have nothing to do don't do it in the press!

    Posted  July 25, 2008 09:02 PM  

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