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49pc back presidential system-poll

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Mr Tom Wolf, a political scientist with research firm Synovate during a past news conference. The firm released a new opinion poll January 22, 2010 that showed 49pc of Kenyans supported a presidential model of government. Photo/FILE

Mr Tom Wolf, a political scientist with research firm Synovate during a past news conference. The firm released a new opinion poll January 22, 2010 that showed 49pc of Kenyans supported a presidential model of government. Photo/FILE 

By JEFF OTIENO
Posted  Friday, January 22  2010 at  13:34

In Summary

  • Study was conducted between January 19 and 21 and interviewed 2,000 Kenyans.
  • 49 percent of Kenyans would vote for a pure presidential system, 31 percent hybrid and 18 percent pure parliamentary.

Almost half of Kenyans favour a pure presidential system of government and prefer electing their head of state through secret ballot, a new opinion poll shows.

The findings captured by research firm Synovate represent a complete shift of public opinion since 2005, when Kenyans rejected a referendum, which proposed a similar method of governance.

According to the study, if a referendum on the system of government was called today, 49 percent of Kenyans would vote for a pure presidential system, 31 percent hybrid and 18 percent pure parliamentary.

The percentage of the group, who did not prefer any of the three systems and those who pleaded ignorance was one percent a piece.

The study, conducted between January 19 and 21, interviewed 2,000 Kenyans through computer assisted telephone interview.

The question posed to the interviewees was which system of leadership they prefer to have: pure presidential, pure parliamentary or hybrid systems?

Majority answered they would  prefer directly voting for a president, who becomes both the head of state and government and whose powers are checked by other institutions.

According to Dr Tom Wolf, a political analyst at Synovate, some Kenyans made an about-turn from the hybrid system after realising they would be denied the opportunity of electing their leader.

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“Once they realised that the responsibility of electing the head of government would be bestowed on Parliament many Kenyans changed their minds on the hybrid system,” said Dr Wolf.

The political analyst said the level of confidence on MPs in the country was very low, adding that Kenyans were  not going to allow  politicians to elect leaders on their behalf.

“It is possible that the public’s unhappiness towards MPs is affecting their attitude towards a pure parliamentary system of government,  since the responsibility of electing the leader of the government will be on the legislators,” said Dr Wolf.

On whether the size of a constituency should be based on the population or geographical size, 73 percent of Kenyans favoured the former, while 24 percent supported the  latter. Three percent did not have an opinion on the issue.

The study had a margin of error of 2.2 and a 95 percent level of confidence. It used computer assisted technology, which was only able to reach those with access to computers and telephones.

Late Wednesday, the Parliamentary Select Committee on Constitution Review sitting in Naivasha agreed to adopt a pure presidential system, where the president will be both the head of state and government.

The consensus put an end to the differences, over the executive chapter in the draft constitution, between the country’s two major political parties, Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and Party of National Unity (PNU).

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Add a comment (27 comments so far)

  1. Submitted by jngundi

    People, stop the confusion! Wolf is reporting the results, but most of the data collectors and analysts are very likely black Kenyans. In any case, debate the methodology (e.g sampling) rather than than appeal to our base emotions. As for the Constitution, I fear we will get very good clauses sandwiched between dangerous proposals. We'd better look at the document in its totality, else we perish.

    Posted  January 23, 2010 05:04 PM  
  2. Submitted by wanja2003

    presidential system any day! I don't trust MPs and i know that am not alone. I guess they have shown us what they are made of...no trustworthy bone in their flesh...so am going to pick the lesser of the two evils.

    Posted  January 23, 2010 02:08 PM  
  3. Submitted by iawe

    The racists among us should just shut their traps..this opinion poll is a true reflection of what we want in our governance system. I want to elect my president period and let him be checked by equallly strong institutions. I'm happy that no more politicians in the cabinet. My hope is that this proposed system will work for the good of our beloved Kenya.

    Posted  January 23, 2010 01:39 PM  
  4. Submitted by nko

    Lets not major on the minors, the issue is that his sample size does not adequately represent the whole countries views. Presedential system with checks and balances is the best. But who will bell the cat??? hard nut to crack

    Posted  January 23, 2010 01:00 PM  
  5. Submitted by georgemugambi

    I hate to be associated with tribalists and racists. Those shouting mzungu here are the reason kenya is failing. Criticize the content not the skin colour of the messenger. Racism and tribalism is the cancer of the world, not political leadership.

    Posted  January 23, 2010 09:57 AM  

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