Raila ahead in polls

Friday July 15 2011

Prime Minister Raila Odinga. Photo/FILE

Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) presidential candidate Raila Odinga leads in the latest opinion polls for the race to State House.

Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenya is second according to the opinion polls released by Strategic Research and Public Relations.

Prime Minister Raila Odinga leads by 42.6 per cent, Uhuru Kenyatta with 21.4 per cent, than Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka, William Ruto, and Martha Karua with less than 10 per cent each.

Of the 3070 respondents, 38.6 per cent pointed out that the cost of living is high, while 24.6 per cent said corruption is yet to be fully tackled by the government.

Failure to fight insecurity in the country has bothered 9.2 per cent of the respondents as 8.4 per cent point out on inability to fight negative ethnicity.

8.4 percent of the respondents want the new constitution be implemented on schedule while 7.8 per cent want the government to create jobs for the youths.


Half of the respondents from Coast province consider the high cost of living as the biggest failure of the government, while only 26.3 per cent of respondents from North Eastern view the cost of living as a failure.

Instead, respondents from North Eastern are more disappointed with the government’s failure to fight corruption and impunity.

Nationally, 24.6 per cent of respondents are concerned about the failure to effectively fight corruption and impunity, while 15.2 per cent are unhappy with the failure to resettle IDPs.

When asked what one key thing they wanted the government to accomplish before the 2012 elections, majority of Kenyans (29.4 per cent) said they want the cost of living reduced.

Kenyans are also happy with the suspension of ministers under investigation for corruption (86.8 per cent), eviction of squatters from forests (61.3 per cent), the Mututho laws (63.1 per cent), compulsory acquisition of land to build roads (57.2 per cent), and killing of armed suspected thugs by police (57.9 per cent).

Most Kenyans also approve the appointment of Dr Willy Mutunga as Chief Justice and Nancy Barasa as his deputy.

Although 34.3 per cent of Kenyans strongly approve of the appointment of Keriako Tobiko as Director of Public Prosecutions, his approval is comparably lower than that of the other two judicial officers who got nearly 50 per cent approval.

On being asked whether the implementation of the constitution meant a better future for Kenya, 85.8 per cent of the respondents answered in the affirmative while 7.5 per cent were sceptical.

Further, most Kenyans believe the constitution will herald a better future in their counties.

While 79.1 per cent of Kenyans feel that the constitution will improve their personal lives, 14.4 per cent do not think that implementing the constitution will change their personal lives for the better.

The poll commissioned by Strategic Public Relations and Research was conducted in July from a random sample of 3070 respondents.

The pollsters used face-to-face interviews at household level to conduct the research using questionnaires.

The researchers sampled the respondents to reflect their age, working status, gender, marital status, religion, location (rural versus urban) and level of education.

The respondents were drawn from 35 counties representing all the eight provinces in the country.